Narrative and Propositional Scenarios
'Luck' is Ignorance
The Evolution of Analytical Questions
Mandy Rice-Davies and the Non-diagnostic Evidence
Sony Hacker Threats; Risk Assessment Difficulties
Peripheral Vision in Animals and Organisations
Affine Transformations of Payoffs should not affect Decision-making
Evidential Support is More Complex than 'For' or 'Against'
Evidence of Absence
A Simple Rule for Decisions under Uncertainty
Failures of Imagination: The Problem with 'Black Swan'
Smoking Guns: Binary Tests with Asymmetric Diagnosticity