Insights
Using a range of analytical techniques, such as scenario generation, risk modelling methods (including Sherpa) and structured forecasting, we aim to reduce uncertainty about the future so that you are better prepared for events which are hard to predict. Aleph Insights is able to both design and facilitate focused analytical workshops, and conduct research and data analysis to produce evidence-based answers to a wide range of questions and provide auditable recommendations about critical decisions you face.
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Future space scenarios
- Client:Defence Science and Technology Laboratories
- Years:2018 - 2019
A government client asked Aleph Insights to produce a series of scenarios for the number and types of vehicles orbiting Earth in 2043. Working with a group of engineers, scientists and policymakers, Aleph Insights developed five scenarios covering a range of outcomes, from a highly-contested and congested space environment, to one in which future technologies had largely solved the problem of space debris. Aleph Insights then drew on a range of data sources to express these scenarios in concrete, quantitative terms, enabling our client to consider policy responses against a realistic and tractable suite of possible futures.
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Innovation readiness metric design
- Client:Ministry of Defence
- Years:2015 - 2016
In 2015, the Ministry of Defence asked Aleph Insights to help them adopt a more open approach to innovation as a central pillar of the Strategic Defence and Security Review. We worked with 100%Open – the UK’s leading open innovation consultancy – to design a metric that could be used to identify the key enablers and blockers to the initiative’s success, and to collect and analyse data on the indicator using a large-scale survey. The tool (which is now part of 100%Open’s online toolkit) enabled the MOD’s decision-makers to assess the likely impact of proposed interventions and make auditable investment decisions quickly and efficiently.
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Arms control and proliferation futures
- Client:Defence Concepts and Doctrine Centre
- Years:2020 - 2020
Aleph Insights were asked to lead the development of a suite of scenarios examining different outcomes for global arms control and the proliferation of weapons of mass effect. Aleph facilitated an online workshop with government and academic experts, and subsequently developed a set of scenarios that described qualitatively different futures for proliferation over a 10-30 year timeframe.
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COVID-19 sampling analysis
- Client:Joint Biosecurity Centre
- Years:2020 - 2020
The Joint Biosecurity Centre needed to capture and structure innovative ideas regarding the use of emerging technologies, the reframing of existing technologies, and the development of novel approaches to understand how they could improve the generation of analytical insights from wastewater sampling to understand infection patterns for COVID 19. We planned and facilitated the workshop and documented its findings for use in various ongoing initiatives.
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Asia Security Survey Visualisations
- Client:Royal United Services Institute
- Years:2021 - 2022
The Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) asked Aleph Insights to support the design of a survey of East Asia security experts, and help analyse the results. Aleph delivered a range of bespoke visuals, helping RUSI identify which issues were likely to generate the most agreement or disagreement, and which were key to resolving security issues in the region.
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Societal Resilience
- Client:Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre
- Years:2021 - 2022
Aleph Insights applied data analysis and statistical modelling to develop an index to measure the societal resilience of different nations, as determined by their capacity to deal with civil contingencies, emergencies or crises. This work was carried out on behalf of the MOD's Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre and informed Defence's engagement and capability building efforts with international partners.
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Edge Computing
- Client:MOD's Innovation and Research InSight Unit (IRIS)
- Years:2021
Aleph Insights produced an evidence-based technology white paper for senior MOD stakeholders on the future threats and opportunities to Defence that were likely to emerge as edge computing infrastructure becomes more widespread. This research took an evidence-based approach to outlining implications and was tailored to support the decision-making of busy, senior personnel.